FULL RIG

Many people play on Full Tilt Poker (FTP). In my opinion FTP has other meaning. It stands for Feed The Pros. I normally don't play on that site based on 2 reasons:

1) The site is rigged!
2) Their software is cursed. It jinx my PS account.

Since I have busted my PS account, now I will give it another go. Why?

1) I like their tournament. Their structure are quite good. Even in turbo tourneys, the blinds only increases by a small fraction.
2) Field size. Always not a big field in small buy-in tournaments. Normally those $3.30 MTT, the field size would be around 200 to 600 entrants (depends on when you play).
3) They have more PLO tournaments than PS.
4) Those PLO players are mainly Holdem players. They would not let go with their AA. I can always see the flop early in the tournament without costing my stack too much. If I hit a big draw, I would be 70%+ fav over their over pair.
5) I haven't been playing there for a while, maybe they'll miss me! Rig it my way for a short while and suck me in.

I deposite a lazy $40 into it and test the water there. I know the site is rig. No doubt about it. So I need to make some adjustments to my play, especially in NLH. Based on my past experience in that site, I figure out several things. An Ace alone would be enough to go all-in, even better if it is sthooted. KK is the trouble hand in that site. Forget about QQ and JJ, they simply can't win unless you get very lucky.

Let's do a bit of Harrington's Math in this one. Any sthooted Ace vs KK. The Ace will be on the board 1 out of 3 times (33%). If your hand is sthooted, FullRig will make it more exciting by giving you a big draw (If no Ace on the flop). Most of the time it would be flush draw, and occasionally straight draw. 1 pair + Flush draw and those Open-ended + Flush Draw always happens. So with any sthooted Ace, in FullRig, you will hit something in some way. Definitely! Lets work out the percentages:

Board with an Ace 33%, but the guy might hit trips or straight/flush by river. Normally with Ace on the board, KK winning percentage would be down to 10% in suck-outs. 0.33 X 0.9 = 30% (win %)
You hit 1 pair but no Ace (10% of the time), so after the flop you are 20% to win, 0.10 X 0.2=2%
Nut Flush Draw (20% of the time), 0.20 X 0.45 = 9%
Straight Draw with an Overcard (20% of the time) 0.20 X 0.4 = 8%
Open ended + FD with an overcard(10% of the time). 0.1 X 0.6 = 6%
In the remaining 7% of the time, the guy with KK might hit trips, quads, boats; but at the same time we might hit trips and some runner runner funky LT ChowHi miracles. Conservatively we might win 2 out of 7 which make it 2% overall.

30% + 2% + 9% + 8% +6% + 2% = 57%

So we all should call with A-x sthooted if we know the all-in guy has any big pair coz we are 57% fav. Late in the tournament, when we have KK, because of the blinds and antes relate to our stack, mathematically it is correct to shove with KK even we are taking slightly worse of it due to POT ODDS! If you think that way, it would be a huge mistake! KK bump into AA always happen in FullRig, it happens at least 1 out of 3. So your actual winning % pre-flop with KK would only be 43% X 0.67 = 29% ( You might call by lower pair, the chance of you hitting a set against AA would be the same as someone hitting a set against you with lower pair. So it evens out). With only 29% chance to win, we should be happy with our KK shove all-in pre-flop and win the blinds and antes.

At first I bought in a PLO SNG, and found out it was a hyper-turbo with only 300 starting chips. Basically it was a lottery. Obviously I busted in that one. Then played a $3.30 PLO MTT, finished 26th out of 190. Flop dead all the way! Then played in a $2 NLH KO-Tourney, early on I had Ks7s on the button. Limp pot, I called for $30. BB pop to $150, all limpers called, I called. Flop 4s 5s 6d. BB bet $300 into a $750+ pot. Fold to MP shoved all-in, I shoved all-in as well with my big draw (He had me covered by $10 or so). BB fold. He showed Ah 6h. Turn Qc, river 6c, I missed the lot.

With less than $30 in the account, I donked it away in a 10c/25c deep stack table. I tried to run a big bluff with the board of 8c 10c 10s 4c 6c. I got no pair but only K high no clubs. I bet aggressively thru out the hand in position, shoved all-in on the river. The Telstra guy in SB check called me all the way with JJ with no clubs. Then in the BB, with only less than $7 in front of me, I dealt nothing but KK. MP raised to $0.75, Telstra guy shoved all-in for $31+, I called, MP folded. Telstra guy had AA. Flop AA x xx and he flopped QUADS.

I deserved to lose, coz I didn't learn my lesson. I should fold my KK pre-flop in the BB. You can't play normal poker in some abnormal site. You need to follow the flow of the site from time to time. As I said, I can only win 29% of the time all-in pre-flop with KK. I have no business in that spot as pot odds only laid me a touch better than 1 to 1. I need 3 to 1 in pot odds to justify a call.

Time to head back to snooker table as Albury only 1 month away. Haven't touched my cue for the last 10 days need to start practicing. Otherwise will be another 1st round loser.